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SimulationCommander's avatar

Bill Rice continuing to hammer early spread…..because early spread blows the entire covid narrative out of the water.

This is why they had to ban AJ Kay for even suggesting it back in April 2020.

But the evidence is MORE damning now than it was then…..and it was pretty damning then.

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Bill Rice, Jr.'s avatar

REGARDING THEORY JEAN HAD A LATER ASYMPTOMATIC CASE THAT EXPLAINS HER POSITIVE ANTIBODY TEST RESULT …

Here Dr. Spitters puts forward a common explanation used by experts to dismiss the significance of possible early cases of Covid. The argument is the antibody tests were either producing “false positives” (due to “cross-reactivity”) with other coronaviruses or that the people who tested positive had actually contracted Covid months after they were sick with Covid symptoms (which is the reason Dr. spitters thinks Jean’s positive result was probably not an "early" case).

However, “recent” asymptomatic cases can actually be confirmed if the person tested positive for the IgM antibody. This is because the IgM antigen fades to undetectable levels approximately 30 days after infection. That is, if anyone tests POSITIVE for the IgM antibody, this person was almost certainly infected in the prior 30 days.

Significantly, in the case of Jean and the non-identified positive resident, officials (and the press) did not disclose the test results for the IgM antibody. If Jean had tested negative for the IgM antibody and positive for the IgG antibody (which can last for years), she did NOT have a recent case. My strong suspicion is that she and the other person tested NEGATIVE for the IgM antibody.

More specifically, if Jean did test negative for the IgM antibody and gave blood in late April, the earliest she could have been infected is probably late March. I also note from my research that the people who did later test positive for antibodies were people who reported significant symptoms. It seems that the severity of one’s illness makes it more likely someone would test positive for (IgG) antibodies many months later.

It should also be noted that, in many people, antibodies fade to undetectable levels in two or three months. For this reason, I’ve long believed that the relatively small number of antibody tests that were administered before early May 2020, probably aren’t picking up all early cases.

Largely for this reason, I think “false negative” results on antibody tests are much more common than “false positive” results.

Expressed differently, I believe if antibody tests had been widely administered in, say, February and March 2020, there would be many more “positive” results that dated to illnesses experienced in November, December and January.

Antibody tests did not become widely available to the public until late April and early May 2020. I believe it’s very possible wide-spread antibody tests were intentionally delayed to produce less definitive evidence of “early spread.”

I also believe wide-spread PCR testing was also delayed for the same reason (to conceal evidence of a virus that had already infected millions of Americans). This article notes that the first “confirmed” case of Covid in America happened on January 19, 2020.

However, the person who tested positive had recently returned from Wuhan. According to testing guidelines created by the CDC, (with a few exceptions) the only people who could get the very few PCR tests that were available before mid-March 2020 were … people who had recently travelled to China.

This means, 99.999 percent of the American public who could or might have tested positive with an early PCR test … weren’t tested.

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