Some more stats on the much higher mortality risk among African Americans. I should note these rates are still extremely low. My main reason for including mortality stats for whites and young whites was to perhaps influence people who happen to be white to not be so afraid of this virus ...
While my analysis focusses primarily on those at or under the white median age of 44, the disproportionate percentage of deaths among minority races in older age cohorts is also striking. For example, according to a June 16th Brookings Institute’s analysis of COVID deaths, “Among those aged 45-54 … Black and Hispanic/Latino death rates are at least six times higher than for whites …”
It seems likely this may be related to higher rates of obesity, diabetes, hypertension, etc in these populations, as after age obesity is the number one predictor of a bad outcome from COVID.
I agree, Susanna. The "obesity epidemic" is one of the few hyped narratives I think is legit and a cause for grave and legitimate concern. BTW, this epidemic occurred during the tenure of one Anthony Fauci, America's "public health" doctor.
Public health doctor and leader of civilian biodefence research for the nation. The man who loved gain of function research and mRNA vaccines almost as much as he loved public attention.
In 2018 Fauci extolled the virtues of an mRNA vaccine but complained it’ll take too long to certify unless some sort of crises comes along. Lo and behold a few years later from a lab in Wuhan he funded, using a gain of function research he favored, a virus suddenly allows him to use the mRNA vaccine of his dreams.
Pretty good work for the country's most expensive public servant.
In the entire country over the last eight months (through Oct. 28), only 85 white Americans under the age of 25 had died from or with COVID. The population of white Americans under the age of 25 is approximately 62 million, which makes the “25-and-under” mortality rate for white Americans .00002.
Odds a White American under the age of 25 will die from COVID-19: 1-in-729,411
Math: 85 deaths divided by 62 million people in this age/racial demo - stats through Oct. 28.
The odds a random American citizen will get struck by lightning in a given year are approximately 1-in-700,000. So a white American 25 or under is more likely to be struck by lightning in the next 12 months than he or she is to die from Covid.
Some more data on differences in mortality among the races:
COVID Deaths by Race, Under 45 (Updated through Nov. 12)
Total deaths: 6,035
Hispanic/Latino: 3,112 (46.85 percent of all deaths in this age category).
Black: 1,834 (27.61 percent of all deaths in this age category).
Whites: 1,089 (16.39 percent of all deaths in this age category).
- Blacks and Hispanics/Latinos comprise approximately 31.9 percent of the U.S. Population. However, these races account for 74.5 percent of all COVID fatalities in the 45-and-under age cohort.
Whites, who comprise 60.1 percent of the population, account for just 16.39 percent of COVID deaths in the 45-and-under age category.
A good demonstration on how the narrative we were sold isn't backed up by the numbers. Actually nothing backed up what was stated and if more people took the time to look into what was being sold they may not have bought it.
Speaking of the Spanish flu, I'd like to direct the readers to a piece I wrote last week on my Substack that may help fill in some other pieces in the Covid for sale-a-thon that we were subjected to: https://stevekarpmd.substack.com/p/kept-hidden-in-plain-sight
Keep up the good work Bill, and know you're not the only one finding use for insights that others for some reason have a blind spot toward.
That's an excellent piece. I strongly recommend readers visit your new site for articles like this. BTW, SK, has long been one of my email friends. In these emails we discuss our theories and articles, many of which are ultimately rejected by editors.
Since actual Covid deaths are unknown and most certainly wildly overstated, the odds of dying from the disease are probably much lower than the writer indicates.
I agree Ted. I tried to make that point at the top of the article when I said you could divide these official death numbers at least by two. Thanks for commenting and reading the article.
Very thorough analysis; good job. Sorry, but publishing 2 yrs. ago most wouldn’t belief this statistics over the fear factor ones. Some of us were fooled early then started catching on.
Many many of those deaths were not “killed by covid.” but were caused by awful treatments or none at all. Patriot docs figured out the virus patterns quickly & used experience, consults w/ other docs, common sense, etc to start treatments that worked. They also pleaded for early treatments not “go home, take ibuprofen; IF you can breathe then come back.”
Treat early was KEY; and using the Zelenko Protocol as well as other similar ones saved lives!!
Following the CDC hospital directives were the opposite of what was effective. Hospitals followed blindly & people died who didn’t need to.
I agree 100 percent. I can't decide which scandal is bigger - the lockdowns, all the iatrogenic deaths (and not treating people that could have been treated), the vaccines, the lies and manipulation of data and on and on and on. All the scandals are massive.
I used Covid data from the state of Ohio, broken down by age group, to come up with similar results. An interesting comparison that I used in Covid lethality graphs was to compare the Covid mortality rate, by age, to the Social Security Administration's annual probability of death by age group. For all age groups under 70 years of age, the probability of dying in the next year from any cause was greater than dying after being infected with Covid.
Thanks for this. As for actual death rates two legislators in MN went through all MN Covid death certificates of 2020 and found that 40% were not from Covid but with Covid. Extremes were fresh water drowning, motorcycle accident, fall from a ladder, etc.
Even Dr Birx estimated it’d be at least 25% because that was the overstatement of AIDS deaths a few decades earlier, as AIDS deaths were also financially incentivized by governments.
For me the warning lights went off when I read about the Diamond Princess, the quarantined ship of Jan and Feb 2020. Initial reports came out in Mar and a formal report in June of 2020. Average age of passenger was 68, crew 38, no masking, social distancing, obsessive hand washing, common ventilation system, passageways, dining, exercise and entertainment areas,. 82% never tested positive, 0.8% hospitalized and 0.3% died. And those deaths occurred when the medical community was fighting the disease the wrong way.
The Diamond Princess did tell us everything we need to know ... so did the outbreak on the USS Teddy Roosevelt aircraft carrier in late March/early April 2020. 4,800 crew members all living as close to one another as people can live ... for weeks. And there was one death - a sailor who was 44. So no deaths of anyone under age 44. And a later antibody study showed that 60 percent of the crew members had been infected. The IFR for those under 44 was probably 0-in-4,000.
BTW, look for a big future story on some other key findings from that Roosevelt antibody study. I'm convinced that virus came on board the ship when it left port in San Diego on January 17, 2020 - two days before the first "confirmed" case of Covid in America.
Correct me if I am wrong, but it appears your very first stat, ".98 per cent" should be .098 per cent. Dunno if this is a typo or a math error, but I await your crosscheck.
I think the point on suicides was worth making even though it's a painful topic to think about. Certainly, the risk of college students dying from suicide is much greater than the risk of a college student dying from Covid. These policies probably dramatically increased this risk (suicide). It would be nice to read some journalism providing suicide statistics post-Covid. They have to have gone up significantly. If the stats don't show this, the stats are probably rigged.
200,000 more US working age deaths in 2021 than in 2019, per the CDC. 32% increase over 2019. Yet the 85+ y.o. group only had a 7% increase over 2019. Weird, huh?
It gets even weirder. The CDC says that in 2021, covid mortality in the 85+ y.o. group FELL 28% while covid mortality in working age Americans DOUBLED. The head spins and the arms waggle.
As someone pointed out, the cruel fact is that Covid would’ve killed the vulnerable elderly in 2020, so there should be fewer elderly deaths in the following years as the coronavirus mutates to a kinder, gentler form that didn’t cull the herd as much. So that part doesn’t seem weird to me.
The real tragedy is in the excess deaths for everyone else. There’s really only one big explanation, and it’s not long and silent Covid. A small explanation might be people not seeking health care in 2020, and fatal diseases not being discovered til too late, but that seems like a small number.
I'm going to do a story in the future highlighting this question: When did the huge spike in deaths occur? After the lockdowns. I think I've already proven this virus was spreading widely around the world by November 2019, so why no noticeable spike in deaths? The "causal effect" ... seems to e the lockdowns (iatrogenic deaths, etc.). The response to the virus (not the virus proper) explains most of the huge surge in deaths. Thanks again for your posts. The Reader Comments add a great deal to the articles IMO.
Yes, the elderly were pulled forward, but shouldn't the vulnerable working age also have been pulled forward? So the 2.5x mortality increase for that group is incredible. Delta had a 25% boost in severity, not a 250% increase.
I have examined this data six ways from Sunday and it looks bogus.
I get your point, but that might have been my point there. Google searches didn't help me find the answer to the question I was looking for. Then again, I don't think any reporters were putting that info into their stories.
Some more stats on the much higher mortality risk among African Americans. I should note these rates are still extremely low. My main reason for including mortality stats for whites and young whites was to perhaps influence people who happen to be white to not be so afraid of this virus ...
While my analysis focusses primarily on those at or under the white median age of 44, the disproportionate percentage of deaths among minority races in older age cohorts is also striking. For example, according to a June 16th Brookings Institute’s analysis of COVID deaths, “Among those aged 45-54 … Black and Hispanic/Latino death rates are at least six times higher than for whites …”
It seems likely this may be related to higher rates of obesity, diabetes, hypertension, etc in these populations, as after age obesity is the number one predictor of a bad outcome from COVID.
I agree, Susanna. The "obesity epidemic" is one of the few hyped narratives I think is legit and a cause for grave and legitimate concern. BTW, this epidemic occurred during the tenure of one Anthony Fauci, America's "public health" doctor.
Public health doctor and leader of civilian biodefence research for the nation. The man who loved gain of function research and mRNA vaccines almost as much as he loved public attention.
In 2018 Fauci extolled the virtues of an mRNA vaccine but complained it’ll take too long to certify unless some sort of crises comes along. Lo and behold a few years later from a lab in Wuhan he funded, using a gain of function research he favored, a virus suddenly allows him to use the mRNA vaccine of his dreams.
Pretty good work for the country's most expensive public servant.
Odds a White American 44 or younger will die from COVID-19: 1-in-99,393
Math: Estimated 114.7 million white Americans age 44 or younger divided by 1,154 COVID deaths in this same age-and-race cohort = 99,393.
Odds a Black American 44 or younger will die of COVID-19: 1-in-8,192.
Math: Estimated 15.37 million Black Americans age 44 or younger divided by 1,876 Covid deaths in the same age-and-race cohort = 8,192.
In the entire country over the last eight months (through Oct. 28), only 85 white Americans under the age of 25 had died from or with COVID. The population of white Americans under the age of 25 is approximately 62 million, which makes the “25-and-under” mortality rate for white Americans .00002.
Odds a White American under the age of 25 will die from COVID-19: 1-in-729,411
Math: 85 deaths divided by 62 million people in this age/racial demo - stats through Oct. 28.
The odds a random American citizen will get struck by lightning in a given year are approximately 1-in-700,000. So a white American 25 or under is more likely to be struck by lightning in the next 12 months than he or she is to die from Covid.
Some more data on differences in mortality among the races:
COVID Deaths by Race, Under 45 (Updated through Nov. 12)
Total deaths: 6,035
Hispanic/Latino: 3,112 (46.85 percent of all deaths in this age category).
Black: 1,834 (27.61 percent of all deaths in this age category).
Whites: 1,089 (16.39 percent of all deaths in this age category).
- Blacks and Hispanics/Latinos comprise approximately 31.9 percent of the U.S. Population. However, these races account for 74.5 percent of all COVID fatalities in the 45-and-under age cohort.
Whites, who comprise 60.1 percent of the population, account for just 16.39 percent of COVID deaths in the 45-and-under age category.
A good demonstration on how the narrative we were sold isn't backed up by the numbers. Actually nothing backed up what was stated and if more people took the time to look into what was being sold they may not have bought it.
Speaking of the Spanish flu, I'd like to direct the readers to a piece I wrote last week on my Substack that may help fill in some other pieces in the Covid for sale-a-thon that we were subjected to: https://stevekarpmd.substack.com/p/kept-hidden-in-plain-sight
Keep up the good work Bill, and know you're not the only one finding use for insights that others for some reason have a blind spot toward.
That's an excellent piece. I strongly recommend readers visit your new site for articles like this. BTW, SK, has long been one of my email friends. In these emails we discuss our theories and articles, many of which are ultimately rejected by editors.
Thanks for the kind words. All true. In Substack unity there is strength!
The truth holds up well after almost 2 years.
Since actual Covid deaths are unknown and most certainly wildly overstated, the odds of dying from the disease are probably much lower than the writer indicates.
I agree Ted. I tried to make that point at the top of the article when I said you could divide these official death numbers at least by two. Thanks for commenting and reading the article.
Very thorough analysis; good job. Sorry, but publishing 2 yrs. ago most wouldn’t belief this statistics over the fear factor ones. Some of us were fooled early then started catching on.
Many many of those deaths were not “killed by covid.” but were caused by awful treatments or none at all. Patriot docs figured out the virus patterns quickly & used experience, consults w/ other docs, common sense, etc to start treatments that worked. They also pleaded for early treatments not “go home, take ibuprofen; IF you can breathe then come back.”
Treat early was KEY; and using the Zelenko Protocol as well as other similar ones saved lives!!
Following the CDC hospital directives were the opposite of what was effective. Hospitals followed blindly & people died who didn’t need to.
I agree 100 percent. I can't decide which scandal is bigger - the lockdowns, all the iatrogenic deaths (and not treating people that could have been treated), the vaccines, the lies and manipulation of data and on and on and on. All the scandals are massive.
Very nice.
Easy to understand, puts much into perspective.
Something sadly missing with today's instant gratification fear porn addiction.
Thx
Thanks, David. Please drop by my Comment Section in the future. I'm excited about some of the stories I'm working on right now.
I used Covid data from the state of Ohio, broken down by age group, to come up with similar results. An interesting comparison that I used in Covid lethality graphs was to compare the Covid mortality rate, by age, to the Social Security Administration's annual probability of death by age group. For all age groups under 70 years of age, the probability of dying in the next year from any cause was greater than dying after being infected with Covid.
Very interesting and telling anecdote. Thanks for sharing this.
Thanks for this. As for actual death rates two legislators in MN went through all MN Covid death certificates of 2020 and found that 40% were not from Covid but with Covid. Extremes were fresh water drowning, motorcycle accident, fall from a ladder, etc.
Even Dr Birx estimated it’d be at least 25% because that was the overstatement of AIDS deaths a few decades earlier, as AIDS deaths were also financially incentivized by governments.
For me the warning lights went off when I read about the Diamond Princess, the quarantined ship of Jan and Feb 2020. Initial reports came out in Mar and a formal report in June of 2020. Average age of passenger was 68, crew 38, no masking, social distancing, obsessive hand washing, common ventilation system, passageways, dining, exercise and entertainment areas,. 82% never tested positive, 0.8% hospitalized and 0.3% died. And those deaths occurred when the medical community was fighting the disease the wrong way.
The Diamond Princess did tell us everything we need to know ... so did the outbreak on the USS Teddy Roosevelt aircraft carrier in late March/early April 2020. 4,800 crew members all living as close to one another as people can live ... for weeks. And there was one death - a sailor who was 44. So no deaths of anyone under age 44. And a later antibody study showed that 60 percent of the crew members had been infected. The IFR for those under 44 was probably 0-in-4,000.
BTW, look for a big future story on some other key findings from that Roosevelt antibody study. I'm convinced that virus came on board the ship when it left port in San Diego on January 17, 2020 - two days before the first "confirmed" case of Covid in America.
Correct me if I am wrong, but it appears your very first stat, ".98 per cent" should be .098 per cent. Dunno if this is a typo or a math error, but I await your crosscheck.
You are not wrong. It was a digit typo. I just fixed it. Thanks for bringing it to my attention.
I think the point on suicides was worth making even though it's a painful topic to think about. Certainly, the risk of college students dying from suicide is much greater than the risk of a college student dying from Covid. These policies probably dramatically increased this risk (suicide). It would be nice to read some journalism providing suicide statistics post-Covid. They have to have gone up significantly. If the stats don't show this, the stats are probably rigged.
I remember someone citing cdc statistics, saying for those under 40 bicycles were more dangerous than the corona virus.
The cdc should’ve been saying this, not some shadow banned citizen.
https://imgur.com/m34y50q.jpg
Very well written and full of facts we can understand.
200,000 more US working age deaths in 2021 than in 2019, per the CDC. 32% increase over 2019. Yet the 85+ y.o. group only had a 7% increase over 2019. Weird, huh?
It gets even weirder. The CDC says that in 2021, covid mortality in the 85+ y.o. group FELL 28% while covid mortality in working age Americans DOUBLED. The head spins and the arms waggle.
2021 data
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7117e1.htm
2019 data
https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/databriefs/db395-tables-508.pdf#3
Only 18 comments? Conservatives don't want to hear this any more than libs. Pathetic.
As someone pointed out, the cruel fact is that Covid would’ve killed the vulnerable elderly in 2020, so there should be fewer elderly deaths in the following years as the coronavirus mutates to a kinder, gentler form that didn’t cull the herd as much. So that part doesn’t seem weird to me.
The real tragedy is in the excess deaths for everyone else. There’s really only one big explanation, and it’s not long and silent Covid. A small explanation might be people not seeking health care in 2020, and fatal diseases not being discovered til too late, but that seems like a small number.
I'm going to do a story in the future highlighting this question: When did the huge spike in deaths occur? After the lockdowns. I think I've already proven this virus was spreading widely around the world by November 2019, so why no noticeable spike in deaths? The "causal effect" ... seems to e the lockdowns (iatrogenic deaths, etc.). The response to the virus (not the virus proper) explains most of the huge surge in deaths. Thanks again for your posts. The Reader Comments add a great deal to the articles IMO.
I think that the key is to focus on the working age population in order to avoid Simpson's Paradox minimizing the impact.
Out of curiosity, what is Simpson's Paradox?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simpson%27s_paradox
Yes, the elderly were pulled forward, but shouldn't the vulnerable working age also have been pulled forward? So the 2.5x mortality increase for that group is incredible. Delta had a 25% boost in severity, not a 250% increase.
I have examined this data six ways from Sunday and it looks bogus.
That's some stunning data there. Thanks for sharing. We won't get that in the NY Times.
I think a lot of conservatives know this so they just shake their head in disgust.
Wonderful article and research. But "Google searches"
All do respect, really?
I get your point, but that might have been my point there. Google searches didn't help me find the answer to the question I was looking for. Then again, I don't think any reporters were putting that info into their stories.