Above Dr. Spitters opines that he doesn’t think Jean really had Covid in December 2019. His guess is that she had some other virus that wasn’t Covid and then later had an asymptomatic case that explained her positive antibody result. One assumes he must think the same scenario also applies to the other Washington resident who was sick in…
Above Dr. Spitters opines that he doesn’t think Jean really had Covid in December 2019. His guess is that she had some other virus that wasn’t Covid and then later had an asymptomatic case that explained her positive antibody result. One assumes he must think the same scenario also applies to the other Washington resident who was sick in December and also had a positive ELISA antibody test.
However, for this jounalist it would be incredibly implausible for early-spread candidates like Jean and the other unnamed Washington resident, as well as Michale Melham and the McCains of Alabama (and 11 people in Delray Beach, Florida) … to ALL became sick with Covid symptoms in November or December and ALL 16 of them became among the first people infected with Covid in their states - and all 16 happened to have developed asymptomatic cases.
People should also keep these antibody details in mind. It typically takes 7 to 14 days for your body to even produce detectable levels of antibodies. This means that if Jean tested positive for antibodies at the end of April 2020, she couldn’t have been infected until April 20th or so at the earliest. But Jean - like all 17 people I have focussed on - also tested NEGATIVE for IgM antibodies (and positive for IgG antibodies). This is very significant. As IgM antibodies have disappeared almost completely within 30 days, this means Jean could not have been infected after March 20th.
The same would apply to every person who got a positive antibody test in late April. The earliest any of these people could have been infected (per Dr. Smitter’s scenario) was probably mid March. The thing is there weren’t ANY “confirmed” PCR cases in many states by March 15th. Or there were just a very few in these states.
This would mean all 17 of these people happened to have gotten very sick in November or December 2019 (but it wasn’t Covid), they then got better. And then sometime in March all happened to be among the very first cases in their respective states. And for some reason they all got asymptomatic cases. If 50 percent of cases are asymptomatic, the probability all 17 would be asymptomatic is by itself a statistical long shot.
Above Dr. Spitters opines that he doesn’t think Jean really had Covid in December 2019. His guess is that she had some other virus that wasn’t Covid and then later had an asymptomatic case that explained her positive antibody result. One assumes he must think the same scenario also applies to the other Washington resident who was sick in December and also had a positive ELISA antibody test.
However, for this jounalist it would be incredibly implausible for early-spread candidates like Jean and the other unnamed Washington resident, as well as Michale Melham and the McCains of Alabama (and 11 people in Delray Beach, Florida) … to ALL became sick with Covid symptoms in November or December and ALL 16 of them became among the first people infected with Covid in their states - and all 16 happened to have developed asymptomatic cases.
People should also keep these antibody details in mind. It typically takes 7 to 14 days for your body to even produce detectable levels of antibodies. This means that if Jean tested positive for antibodies at the end of April 2020, she couldn’t have been infected until April 20th or so at the earliest. But Jean - like all 17 people I have focussed on - also tested NEGATIVE for IgM antibodies (and positive for IgG antibodies). This is very significant. As IgM antibodies have disappeared almost completely within 30 days, this means Jean could not have been infected after March 20th.
The same would apply to every person who got a positive antibody test in late April. The earliest any of these people could have been infected (per Dr. Smitter’s scenario) was probably mid March. The thing is there weren’t ANY “confirmed” PCR cases in many states by March 15th. Or there were just a very few in these states.
This would mean all 17 of these people happened to have gotten very sick in November or December 2019 (but it wasn’t Covid), they then got better. And then sometime in March all happened to be among the very first cases in their respective states. And for some reason they all got asymptomatic cases. If 50 percent of cases are asymptomatic, the probability all 17 would be asymptomatic is by itself a statistical long shot.