Public health officials changed the definition of a “case,” which used to be a “medical case” - a diagnosis that required medical attention. However, a “Covid case” was simply a positive PCR test result (from a 40-cycle PCR test).
Regarding “early cases,” officials wrote the definition of a “confirmed” case, which could only be someone who had … received a positive PCR test.
No PCR test was given to any American before January 17, 2020.
Per the CDC’s definitions, a positive antibody test (in combination with having all the Covid symptoms) did not meet the standard of a “confirmed” case. This is why the first confirmed case in America is still listed as January 17, 2020.
The only way to “confirm” an “early case” of Covid would be for someone to invent a time machine, stock up on PCR testing kits, and go back in time before January 2020 and start giving those tests to people.
In the early days of the pandemic, CDC officials issued guidance for hospitals and clinics to be on the lookout for possible early cases. Alas, the testing protocols said that these health agencies should only use the few available PCR tests to test people who had recently returned from China.
So - surprise; surprise - all the early “confirmed” cases were …. people who had just returned from China.
Why no mandate for autopsies?
Since this was an experimental vaccine - issued under “emergency use authorization” - why didn’t the government allocate extra funds to perform autopsies on vaccinated people who died in the weeks or months after receiving their “vaccine?”
Why didn’t officials mandate that autopsies be performed on these people?
The flu ‘vaccine’ indoctrinated most of us …
The public doesn’t realize this, but officials “got us” when they marketed the flu vaccine as a real vaccine. Once upon a time, people thought that a “vaccine” would prevent you from getting some disease or illness.
With the flu vaccine, the narrative became “maybe this will prevent you from getting the flu, but maybe it won’t.” Per the narrative, even if you do get the flu, your “case” will be much less severe than if you didn’t get this shot. This (IMO) was/is a bald-faced lie too.
I’ve only received one flu vaccine in my life. You guessed it: That year I got the flu … and it wasn’t a “mild” case either.
I have NEVER read an article on some flu outbreak that didn’t include some version of this quote: “Officials stress it’s not too late to get your flu vaccine.”
Stories like this pretty much admit that that year’s flu shot doesn’t work and yet the conclusion or key message is: Rush out and get your flu shot … you know, the one that doesn’t work.
Covid rips through our household … again
My wife recently tested positive for Covid - for the second time, both times after receiving the first two doses of Moderna’s shots.
She might have gotten it from me. I had chills and some of the Covid symptoms two weeks ago. I of course didn’t go to the doctor and get a test.
My son got sick too. Fairly mild symptoms.
It’s ‘Seasonal,’ Stupid …
Here the date is important - early February. This happens to be the heart of the “cold and flu season (and “Covid season”).
Per conversations with one doctor friend and per my reading, it seems there is another big “Covid outbreak” happening right now … in the cold and flu season.
The same thing happened in the winter of 2020-2021.
Call me a contrarian, but I think the exact same thing happened in the winter of 2019-2020 too. When did people have “Covid symptoms” that winter and fall? In the cold and flu season - from November 2019 through early March 2020.
This, I believe, was the “first wave” of Covid, which was completely missed by “the experts.”
The virus, like many respiratory viruses or coronaviruses, is clearly “seasonal.” Copious evidence tells us this.
Still, the experts say that there was no Covid cases in the early “cold and flu season” of 2019-2020.
The CDC held a press conference on May 29, 2020, where officials said they had found “no indications” of early cases in America before January 17, 2020.
The official narrative is actually that “late spread” happened …
This means the official storyline is actually that “late spread” happened that flu season. For some reason, “cases” exploded in … late March and April 2020.
Of the tens of millions of people who had Covid symptoms in November 2019 through February 2020, none of them had Covid. That’s what the experts say … and we should always trust the experts.
I’ve never heard of a respiratory virus that had its first big outbreak … in April or May.
I remember lots of newspaper, TV and Internet reports about “exploding” cases in April 2020, but I don’t remember anyone in my network of acquaintances who actually had Covid or flu-like symptoms in these months.
But I remember hundreds of people who had those symptoms months earlier (myself and my two children were in this group).
Take-away: When analyzing possible Covid cases, symptoms people experienced actually don’t matter.
I Never Saw this Coming ….
Of all the things in the world I thought would never happen, I never thought that if most people got vaccinated for Covid … and massive numbers of people kept coming down with Covid after their vaccinations, that the masses would take this as a sign that the vaccines were highly effective.
I never thought rampant cases post vaccination would be an argument for mandatory vaccines.
After this DID happen, I about gave up on the notion that people still possess “critical thinking skills” and I pretty much decided that I am living through some episode of “The Twilight Zone.”
Is “excess mortality” - post vaccine - ever going to become a mainstream media story?
Can officials (and their allies in the press) hide or dismiss hundreds of thousands or millions of deaths … forever?
They have for almost two years so why couldn’t they do this for two more years or 20 more years?
Calculating IFR rates … for people I personally knew ….
The Infection Fatality Rate (IFR) for Covid is a fraction. The numerator is “people who died from Covid.” The denominator is “people who have been infected by the coronavirus.”
John Ioannidis is an epidemiologist from Stanford who says the IFR for most people is below the IFR for influenza (typically stated as 0.1 percent.)
Here’s what Ioannidis and his co-authors wrote in one study:
“Across 31 systematically identified national seroprevalence studies in the pre-vaccination era, the median infection fatality rate of COVID-19 was estimated to be 0.035% for people aged 0-59 years people and 0.095% for those aged 0-69 years.
*The median IFR was 0.0003% at 0-19 years, 0.003% at 20-29 years, 0.011% at 30-39 years, 0.035% at 40-49 years, 0.129% at 50-59 years, and 0.501% at 60-69 years.
*At a global level, pre-vaccination IFR may have been as low as 0.03% and 0.07% for 0-59 and 0-69 year old people, respectively.
This study gibes with my personal observations.
In 36 months of the official pandemic, I personally knew three people who died from Covid. One person was 70 years old when she died; another was 80 and the other was 81.
This means that in 36 months I have not personally known one person under the age of 70 who died from Covid.
Furthermore, I would estimate that 90 percent of the people I personally know have now had at least one “case” of Covid (so the denominator is huge).
This got me thinking: How many people do I personally know? How many people have I met in my life that I can remember meeting them and would recognize their name or face?
Some researcher somewhere has probably come up with the number of people a typical person knows in a lifetime.
I worked at newspapers for decades so this got me out and about in the public more than some people so my number is probably larger than some people. I would estimate that I “personally” know at least 6,000 people. (Before I was banned from Facebook, I had 1,600 “friends” and I didn’t even try that hard to grow my friend group).
Most of the people I know are under the age of 70.
A little quick math and another fun thought experiment …
This got me thinking, what is the Covid IFR of people I personally know. I guess it’s approximately 3/5,400. That is, of the approximately 6,000 people I think I know, I knew three people who (I think) die die from Covid.
Assumption: If I have known 6,000 people and 90 percent have had Covid by now that gives me a denominator of 5,400 total cases.
This is a personal Covid IFR of 0.055 percent, which is lower than the reported IFR for the flu.
But if I calculated the IFR for “people Bill Rice knows under the age of 70” who have died from Covid it would be …. 0.0000 percent.
So in the past 36 months, I know of zero friends or acquaintances who died from Covid who were under the age of 70.
I imagine this “personal” IFR calculation is typical.
It would be very interesting if some polling organization (maybe Rasmussen) simply asked poll respondents how many people they personally knew who died from Covid.
And then break this figure down by age cohorts. How many people under the age of, say, 60, did you personally know who died from Covid?
I think the majority of respondents would answer the same as me: Zero.
Note: One also can’t be sure that someone who allegedly died “from” Covid actually did die from Covid (and not from some other cause).
Question: If you personally don’t know anyone under the age of 70 who died from Covid (or maybe know just one person who did), why the great terror and fear of this disease?
Question for readers (please reply in Reader Comments) …
Question for readers: Can you identify how many people you personally knew who died from Covid? Of this number, how many were under the age of 70?
Did you personally know anyone under the age of, say, 50 who you think died from Covid?
Once could contrast these numbers to the numbers of people you personally know who you think might have died as a result of their Covid vaccines.
I know a fair few people who, having tested themselves with lateral flow tests rather than PCR tests, think they had covid. Most of them, post-jabs, have had it several times. The over-70s I know are convinced they would have been much sicker without the jabs even though none of them had covid before the jabs. The only person I know who had covid before the jabs (summer 2020) was my 24 year old daughter who had to take a LFT because her boss panicked. I know of one person who died "of covid" in 2020 before the jabs but she was in her 60s and had several serious health issues so probably would have died of a cold. Of all the people I know, only my husband, two daughters and one boyfriend are unjabbed. Everyone else I know took the jabs. It's been impossible to have any sort of sensible conversation with people about any of it - they all believed it was a plague, that they would die, that a mask would stop it, that the jabs stopped them dying. Don't need to do IQ tests on people to find out their intelligence level - just ask what they think of covid!
So, before January 17, 2020 all those illnesses were the flu. After that date, the flu utterly disappeared for 3 years and everything was "covid". Hahahha, unfortunately all the non thinkers became cultists and swallow every lie fed to them by dems.